Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 3.258407 3.760973 4.312215 4.961306 5.704326 6.527937 7.509797
2025-01-26 2.638634 3.316448 4.121813 5.147716 6.418317 7.938892 9.895516
2025-02-02 2.271060 3.074262 4.097199 5.491868 7.340160 9.701803 12.944827
2025-02-09 1.914038 2.770024 3.930291 5.611332 7.977523 11.181575 15.841380
2025-02-16 1.623650 2.496996 3.749625 5.666968 8.516170 12.580237 18.801809
2025-02-23 1.346576 2.190829 3.466651 5.520855 8.729170 13.528298 21.226710
2025-03-02 1.104502 1.893961 3.146429 5.260040 8.716654 14.118874 23.165291
2025-03-09 0.967773 1.741428 3.024647 5.284979 9.139539 15.407819 26.320424
2025-03-16 0.827992 1.559992 2.826624 5.150403 9.273308 16.234113 28.803999
2025-03-23 0.777284 1.526769 2.874289 5.438948 10.154393 18.388055 33.751874
2025-03-30 0.716425 1.464679 2.860277 5.611386 10.844614 20.279653 38.441776
2025-04-06 0.643915 1.368653 2.769393 5.626151 11.241788 21.683444 42.394010
2025-04-13 0.543474 1.204222 2.530747 5.335912 11.045891 22.015713 44.473744
2025-04-20 0.509094 1.171685 2.548751 5.558240 11.880971 24.392452 50.749378
2025-04-27 0.492378 1.174676 2.639842 5.942831 13.091820 27.636478 59.108624
2025-05-04 0.455564 1.126809 2.616307 6.080145 13.803499 29.957520 65.856670
2025-05-11 0.417290 1.069346 2.563480 6.145237 14.366375 32.030713 72.316375
2025-05-18 0.368442 0.978460 2.422139 5.990064 14.420670 33.029075 76.579167
2025-05-25 0.318317 0.875903 2.238512 5.709436 14.149837 33.281489 79.212072
2025-06-01 0.292190 0.830804 2.186546 5.737368 14.602800 35.193079 85.791837
2025-06-08 0.259882 0.763900 2.071075 5.592210 14.620309 36.108238 90.164557
2025-06-15 0.253163 0.766279 2.132564 5.904944 15.805492 39.881008 101.701075
2025-06-22 0.240853 0.750844 2.145236 6.091830 16.694490 43.036631 112.076127